Internet as Political Force
Dan Gillmor writes in the aftermath of the Iowa caucuses and Howard Dean's third-place showing:
Anyone who doubts that the Internet is changing politics in major ways just isn't paying close enough attention.
Howard Dean and his campaign staffers have been this election cycle's innovators, even if the candidate has turned off many voters with his hot-headed rhetoric and style. They have used technology to raise money and to communicate with supporters, giving supporters an unprecedented role in running the campaign from the edges rather than campaign staff controlling it solely from the center. Their work, or least some of it, is a template for everyone else, now and in the future.
Look at Kerry's Web site . It has borrowed from Dean's campaign. There's a campaign Weblog, operated by a veteran of the blogging sphere. There's the link to Meetup.com, connecting supporters with each other in the physical world. There's the fundraising link, a phenomenon that goes back in presidential campaigns to Republican contender John McCain in 2000.
Today, every serious presidential candidate has a blog in addition to a Web site. Tomorrow, every serious candidate for any office will be using these online techniques, or at least some of them.
This is how the Web works: letting people emulate each other's tactics, folding the best new ideas into traditional platforms and messages.
For once, politics leads business in adoption of new technologies.
Obliquity
Suhit Anantula, who has an excellent blog on Rural India, points to an article by John Kay on Obliquity. Writes Kay:
Strange as it may seem, overcoming geographic obstacles, winning decisive battles or meeting global business targets are the type of goals often best achieved when pursued indirectly. This is the idea of Obliquity. Oblique approaches are most effective in difficult terrain, or where outcomes depend on interactions with other people.
If you want to go in one direction, the best route may involve going in the other. Paradoxical as it sounds, goals are more likely to be achieved when pursued indirectly. So the most profitable companies are not the most profit-oriented, and the happiest people are not those who make happiness their main aim. The name of this idea? Obliquity.
Obliquity is characteristic of systems that are complex, imperfectly understood, and change their nature as we engage with them…Success through obliquity is a product of natural selection in an uncertain, but competitive, environment. It is almost certainly true that, on average, profit-oriented companies are more profitable than less profit-oriented companies. It is very likely that on average people who are interested in money are richer than people who are not. But at the same time that the most profitable companies are not the most profit-oriented, the richest people are not those most interested in money. Outstanding success is the product of obliquity.
The distinction between intent and outcome is central to obliquity. Wealth, family relationships, employment all contribute to happiness but these activities are not best conducted with happiness as their goal. The pursuit of happiness is a strange phrase in the US constitution because happiness is not best achieved when pursued. A satisfying life depends above all on building good personal relationships with other people - but we entirely miss the point if we seek to develop these relationships with our personal happiness as a primary goal.
This is one of the most thoughtful articles I have read in recent times. It echoes a lot of what I feel – I didn’t have a name to describe it. Now I do.
One of the really fun things about having so much of the 2004 Election discussion happening in blogs is that we can get access to much more of the conversation then we traditionally could and, we can see it happening almost in real-time even though it is going on all over the country and even the world. At http://elections.pubsub.com/, we've built a little service to make it easy for folk interested in the election to get up-to-the-minute visibility on what's being said in blogs about the candidates. Come take a look. Also, if you'd like to be able to build your own custom, synthetic rss files like the ones that we build for the elections, check out http://weblogs.pubsub.com/ which provides both a simple and an advanced interface for defining custom rss feeds that are maintained in real-time.
bob wyman
Posted by Bob Wyman