Friday, September 17, 2004
Learning From Failure

HBS Working Knowledge has an excerpt from "Juice: The Creative Fuel that Drives World-Class Inventors" by Evan Schwartz:


Failure is the rule rather than the exception, and every failure contains information. One of the most misleading lessons imparted by those who have reached their goal is that the ones who win are the ones who persevere. Not always. If you keep trying without learning why you failed, you'll probably fail again and again. Perseverance must be accompanied by the embrace of failure. Failure is what moves you forward. Listen to failure.

But there are different kinds of failure. Sometimes, failure tells you to give up and do something else entirely. Other times, it tells you to try a different approach, a new route to the top of the mountain. Or it may tell you to make a detour. Sometimes, it tells you that you need help. Sometimes, it doesn't seem to tell you anything.


The HBSWK excerpt discusses Steve Wozniak and what he learnt.

Entrepreneurship | PermaLink | Comments (1)

Infact, there are no failures. on results. good and bad results and its relative.

Posted by krishna
Telecom Upheavals

WSJ writes that it is a free-for-all in the marketplace:


Over the past four years, the nation's largest phone companies have lost local phone lines by the millions as consumers fled to cellphones and e-mail. Many customers are giving up their second, and even their primary, phone lines. The intrusion by cable companies only made things worse, forcing the Bells to expand into other areas that promise more growth, such as wireless, high-speed Internet and television.

For their part, cable companies are feeling the pinch as satellite-TV providers sign up more customers, increasingly with help from the Bells. SBC, for example, has invested $500 million in EchoStar as part of its joint marketing deal.

On the other hand, technological advances are making it easier for telecom and cable companies to break into each other's businesses without making huge upfront investments. The development and spread of broadband Internet service lets cable companies offer phone service over the Net, which is much cheaper than running it over their cable lines. And phone companies are investing in new services, such as downloadable movies on demand, that run on broadband and that will, they hope, provide new revenue streams.

The nation's three largest phone companies are also each developing new fiber networks that will allow them to offer data-transmission speeds that are far higher than those offered by digital subscriber line or cable broadband today. Such networks, which are costly to build and will take years to complete, would allow the companies to offer hundreds of TV channels as well as other services such as online gaming, phone and Internet access.

eBay's Grid

eWeek has an interview with Marty Abbott, senior vice president of technology of eBay, on its technology infrastructure:


A good way to think about it is that it's one of the first examples of grid computing. It's an array of systems, each of which has a service component that answers to another system: fault tolerance meant to allow for scale. As a matter of fact, we would have potential vendors and partners come in and try to sell us on the idea of grid computing and we'd say, "It sounds an awful lot like what we were doing. We didn't know there was a name for it."

We went from one huge back-end system and four or five very large search databases. Search used to update in 6 to 12 hours from the time frame in which someone would place a bid or an item for sale. Today, updates are usually less than 90 seconds. The front end in October '99 was a two-tiered system with [Microsoft Corp.] IIS [Internet Information Services] and ISAPI [Internet Server API]. The front ends were about 60 [Windows] NT servers. Fast-forward to today. We have 200 back-end databases, all of them in the 6- to 12-processor range, as opposed to having tens of processors before. Not all those are necessary to run the site. We have that many for disaster recovery purposes and for data replication.

We have two data centers in Santa Clara County [Calif.], one data center in Sacramento [Calif.] and one in Denver. When you address eBay or make a request of eBay, you have an equal chance of hitting any of those four.

We've taken a unique approach with respect to our infrastructure. In a typical disaster recovery scenario, you have to have 200 percent of your capacity—100 percent in one location, 100 percent in another location—which is cost-ineffective. We have three centers, each with 50 percent of the traffic, actually 55 percent, adding in some bursts.

We use Sun [Microsystems Inc.] systems, as we did before. We use Hitachi Data Systems [Corp.] storage on Brocade [Communications Systems Inc.] SANs [storage area networks] running Oracle [Corp.] databases and partner with Microsoft for the [Web server] operating system. IBM provides front and middle tiers, and we use WebSphere as the application server running our J2EE code—the stuff that is eBay. The code is also migrated from C++ to Java, for the most part. Eighty percent of the site runs with Java within WebSphere.

We believe the infrastructure we have today will allow us to scale nearly indefinitely. There are always little growth bumps, new things that we experience, and not a whole lot of folks from whom we can learn. But using the principles of scaling out, rather than scaling up; disaggregating wherever possible; attempting to avoid state, because state is very costly and increases your failure rate; partnering with folks like Microsoft and IBM, Sun, Hitachi Data Systems, where they feel they have skin in the game and are actually helping us to build something; and then investing in our people, along with commodity hardware and software—applying those principles, we think we can go indefinitely.

We deliver the content for most countries from the U.S. The exceptions are Korea and China, which have their own platforms. In the other 28 countries, when you list an item for sale or when you attempt to bid or buy an item, that comes back to the U.S. We distribute the content around the world through a content delivery network. We put most of the content that's downloaded—except for the dynamic pieces—in a location near where you live. That's about 95 percent of the activity, making the actions or requests that come back to eBay in the U.S. very lightweight. A page downloads in the U.K. in about the same time that it downloads in the U.S., thanks to our partner Akamai [Technologies Inc.], whose content delivery network resides in just about every country, including China.

How We See Websites

Eyetrack III has some interesting websites: "We observed 46 people for one hour as their eyes followed mock news websites and real multimedia content. In this article we'll provide an overview of what we observed...The eyes most often fixated first in the upper left of the page, then hovered in that area before going left to right. Only after perusing the top portion of the page for some time did their eyes explore further down the page."

Information Architecture Resources

[via Robin Good] Peter Morville has compiled a list of the best resources online.

Wikis in the Newsroom

Mark Glaser wonders if "journalists trust Wikipedia, and can collaboration software such as wikis improve newsgathering?"


Consider the Wikipedia, a free online encyclopedia with hundreds of thousands of entries created by thousands of people since just January 2001. Originally, it was supposed to be a trusted encyclopedia called Nupedia written only by people with PhD's. Wikipedia was an adjunct project that eventually became the main event, a sprawling public site that covers everything from Bayesian probability to cultural imperialism -- with versions in dozens of languages.

For journalists enthralled by Wikipedia, there's still one drawback: lack of accountability. The Boston Globe's Hiawatha Bray recently spelled out the problem in a story on Wikipedia. "Old-school reference books hire expert scholars to write their articles, and employ skilled editors to check and double-check their work," Bray wrote. "Wikipedia's articles are written by anyone who fancies himself an expert."

Proponents of Wikipedia take less of a black-and-white view, noting that most of its content is reliable but your mileage may vary. Jimmy Wales, founder of the Wikipedia and director of the Wikimedia Foundation (the non-profit that runs the site), told me that the "average level of content is quite high, but our open editing process means that people need to be judicious and sensible."

In other words, a journalist might be able to trust some or even most of the content on Wikipedia, but double-checking information is a must.

Elizabeth Lawley, assistant professor at the Rochester Institute of Technology's Department of Information Technology, believes in the collective power of wikis, but is not sure that the removal of distinct personalities will work in a journalistic setting.

"I believe it matters who said what, and when," Lawley wrote on Corante's Many 2 Many blog. "That context provides enormous 'metadata' for me personally. And the wiki explicitly strips that. I understand why, and I do recognize its benefits. But I'm still uncomfortable with it."

More likely, wikis will be accepted into the newsroom if they are for private collaboration among staffers. But even in this case, journalists might well be frustrated if they have to search through a revision history to find out just who changed their words of perceived wisdom.

TECH TALK: An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge: Execution

Roadmap, People and Partnerships are the three building blocks. They are the foundation for the fourth key element of growth – Execution.

Every step that we take opens us up to new avenues, new choices. The path that we weave through this maze of choices is what execution is about. For us to make the right selections, we need to crystal clear focus on the things we need to do and which are important – and the ones which we should not do and which are unimportant. There is always the tendency of trying to do little or too much – we need to maintain just the right balance. Otherwise, we will either end up doing too little and being too late, or overextending limited resources and spreading ourselves too thin.

These will not be easy decisions to make. The complexity of what we are trying to do in Emergic is far greater than what I have tried to do in the past. We are trying to build out multiple elements of the new computing ecosystem simultaneously. One criticism that has been voiced in discussions I have had with people is that while the vision is compelling and exciting, the operational challenges are immense and compounded by the fact that we are trying to do too many things.

I often think about this. My belief is that in the past with only the backend server software which worked on the local network, we did not go far enough. Unless we are able to address the issues of affordability, desirability, accessibility and manageability in computing on both the hardware and software fronts at the same time, we will not create a winning solution. What we have to do is to think of the various elements that we are working on as “small pieces, loosely joined.”

Going ahead, we have to execute well. Seemingly small mistakes can make things very difficult for growing businesses. If we do make mistakes (and we will), we have to recognise them quickly and do course correction. There will be parallelism and multi-tasking inherent in much of what we are doing, so the challenge of getting things right is even greater. Even as we start, I know we will get some things wrong – but as long as we get the important things nearly right, we will do well.

As I think back, I realise that managing growth from 20 to 100 people is perhaps the toughest challenge of them all. There are many things that are changing simultaneously and this is where the risks of going wrong are the greatest. But if this “executional chasm” can be crossed, then the sky is the limit.

As I look ahead, I can sense an inner excitement – similar to the one I felt a decade ago when I started on IndiaWorld. The past few years have been of learning and education, and now I am ready for the road ahead. For me as an entrepreneur, the journey has its own rewards. The magnitude of what we are trying to do is immense. It can be a revolutionary creation if we can make it work the way we think it should. But as in all start-ups, statistically, we have the odds stacked against us. But that is what makes it so exciting. For an entrepreneur, it is all about building what's in the mind's eye – a vision of tomorrow that few others can see today. Sometimes, it is too early. At other times, is it too late. We'll see what happens with Emergic.

Me
Entrepreneur, Mumbai, India, Emergic, Netcore, Internet, IndiaWorld, Sify, IIT-Bombay, ColumbiaUniv ... More [Write to Me]

- MyToday
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- Novatium: Network Computers
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- Rajshri Media: Broadband Portal
- Newsweek on Novatium (Feb 2007)
- Knowledge@Wharton Interview (Oct 2006)
- TIME Asia (Mar 2000)

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My Writings
Affordable Computing and ICT for Development
India's Digital Infrastructure (May 2007)
Envisioning Tomorrow's World (Mar 2007)
Computing for the Next Billion (Jun 2006)
City Wi-Fi Networks (Apr 2006)
Microsoft Live (Nov 2005)
Internet Tea Leaves (Sep 2005)
Next-Generation Networks (Jul 2005)
Disruptions (Jul 2005)
The Mobile Phone Platform (Feb 2005)
Microsoft, Bandwidth and Centralised Computing (Jan 2005)
Computing for Broadband 101 (Jan 2005)
Tomorrow's World (Nov 2004)
CommPuting Grid (Nov 2004)
Massputers, Redux (Oct 2004)
The Network Computer (Oct 2004)
Reinventing Computing (Aug 2004)
Tech Trends (Jul 2004)
Letter to Arun Shourie (Apr 2004)
As India Develops (Mar 2004)
My Mental Model (Dec 2003)
The Next Billion (Sep 2003)
Transforming Rural India 2 (Jul 2003)
The Discovery of India (Jun 2003)
Transforming Rural India (Mar 2003)
The Rs 5,000 PC Ecosystem (Jan 2003)
Disruptive Bridges (Nov 2002)
India Post: Ideas for Tomorrow (Nov 2002)
Technology's Next Markets (Oct 2002)
Server-based Computing (Jul 2002)
India's Next Decade (Apr 2002)
The Digital Divide (Apr 2002)
The Real Wireless Revolution (Mar 2002)
Envisioning a New India (Jan 2002)
Emerging Technologies, Emerging Markets (Jan 2002)
The Indianised Linux Desktop (Nov 2001)
Mass Market Internet (Nov 2000)

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The Coming Age of ASPs (May 2005)
SMEs and Technology (Oct 2003)
The Death and Rebirth of Email (Aug 2003)
IT's Future (Aug 2003)
Rethinking the Desktop (Sep 2002)
Rethinking Enterprise Software (Jun 2002)
Emerging Enterprises and Emergent Networks (Mar 2002)
Web Services (Nov 2001)
Alt.Software (Oct 2001)
The Intelligent, Real-Time Enterprise (June 2001)
Enterprise Software (Mar 2001)
SME Tech Utility (Feb 2001)
Software and SMEs (Jan 2001)
The Intelligent Enterprise: Integrating CRM, SCM and EIP (Jan 2001)

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The Emerging Internet (May 2007)
The Now-New-Near Web (Sep 2006)
Mobile Internet (Aug 2006)
Video on the Internet (Jun 2006)
India Internet and Mobile (Feb 2006)
Rethinking Newspapers (Jan 2006)
Web 2.0 (Oct 2005)
The Future of Search (Mar 2005)
Web 2.0 Conference (Oct 2004)
Thinking A New Food Portal (Sep 2004)
Rethinking Search (Jan 2004)
India.com 2.0 (Jan 2004)
The Publish-Subscribe Web (Jun 2003)
Constructing the Memex (May 2003)
RSS, Blogs and Beyond (Feb 2003)
Blogging (Feb 2002)
Harnessing Information (Oct 2001)
News Refinery (May 2001)

Entrepreneurship
When Bad Things Happen (Jan 2007)
Ventures and Capital (Dec 2006)
15 Years as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2006)
Of Blue Oceans and Black Swans (May 2006)
Let's Build a Business (Apr 2006)
The Value of Vision (Mar 2006)
Vision and Worries (Oct 2005)
Bootstrapping a Business (Oct 2005)
India Needs More Entrepreneurs (Aug 2005)
Dotcom Nostalgia (Jun 2005)
When Things Go Wrong (Apr 2005)
My Life as an Entrepreneur (Nov 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Growth Challenge (Sep 2004)
Creating Options (Sep 2004)
From Employee to Entrepreneur (Aug 2004)
A Tale of Two Summers (Aug 2004)
Crucible Experiences (May 2004)
The Company (May 2004)
An Entrepreneur's Attributes (Nov 2003)
An Entrepreneur's Early Days (Sep 2003)
Reflections on Ideas and Entrepreneurship (Jul 2003)
Entrepreneur's Enigmas (Jan 2003)
The Entrepreneur's Delights (Sep 2002)
Life as an Entrepreneur (Oct 2001)
Leadership Lessons from Lagaan (Aug 2001)
Entrepreneurial Learnings (July 2001)
Entrepreneurship (Mar 2001)
The IndiaWorld Story (1997-8)

Abhishek (my son)
Photos
Letter to a Two-Year-Old (Apr 2007)
Father to Son (Apr 2006)
Letter to a 2005 Baby (Jun 2005)
The Making of Abhishek (Jul 2005)

Moreover
Facebook (May 2007)
Doing Education Right (May 2007)
Reflections from a Dubai Trip (Apr 2007)
Creating India's New Cities (Apr 2007)
India's Challenges (Mar 2007)
3GSM 2007 (Feb 2007)
Demo 2007 (Feb 2007)
A Tale of Two Covers (Feb 2007)
3GSM Mumbai (Feb 2007)
2007 Tech Trends (Jan 2007)
The Best of 2006 (Dec 2006)
Best of Tech Talk 2006 (Dec 2006)
Cyworld (Nov 2006)
Two 2.0 Events (Nov 2006)
Two-Sided Markets (Nov 2006)
The Rise of YouTube (Oct 2006)
Gandhigiri (Oct 2006)
Education and Reservation (May 2006)
Four Blog Years (May 2006)
Fooled by Randomness (May 2006)
Blue Ocean Strategy (May 2006)
Revolution on the Roads (Apr 2006)
The MySpace Story (Mar 2006)
A Presentation at PC Forum (Mar 2006)
Extreme Competition (Mar 2006)
3GSM World Congress 2006 (Feb 2006)
DEMO 2006 (Feb 2006)
India Rising (Jan 2006)
2006 Tech Trends (Jan 2006)
The Best of Tech Talk 2005 (Dec 2005)
The Best of 2005 (Dec 2005)
Trains, Planes and Mobiles (Dec 2005)
Peter Drucker: Management's Newton (Nov 2005)
India Empowered (Oct 2005)
Rajasthan Ruminations 2 (Sep 2005)
Building a Better India (Sep 2005)
South Korea's IT839 (Jul 2005)
Shift-Ctrl (Jul 2005)
Best of Future Tech (Feb 2005)
Multi-Model Minds (Feb 2005)
The Best of 2004 (Jan 2005)
On Watching Swades (Jan 2005)
The Best of Tech Talk 2004 (Dec 2004)
India Trends (Dec 2004)
An American Journey (Aug 2004)
Black Swans (Aug 2004)
A Train Journey (Jun 2004)
An Agenda for the Next Government (May 2004)
Two Blog Years (May 2004)
Rajasthan Ruminations (Feb 2004)
Technology and the Indian Elections (Feb 2004)
2003-04 (Dec 2003)
Random Musings (Sep 2003)
Useful Concepts (July 2003)
Dear Non-Resident Indian (July 2003)
Tech's 10X Tsunamis (July 2002)
An Indian in China (Mar 2002)
Disruptive Technologies (Aug 2001)
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- CIT 2004 (Jan 2004)
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- Pune CSI Open-Source Workshop (Sep 2003)
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